Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Sol | Seattle Storm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Seattle Storm -13 (51-64). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Miami Sol
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katrina Colleton * | 32 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Sheri Sam * | 31 | 8-19 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Kristen Rasmussen * | 31 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Marlies Askamp * | 25 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Debbie Black * | 21 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Milena Flores | 18 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kisha Ford | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jamie Cassidy | 14 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Shantia Owens | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonja Henning * | 40 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Quacy Barnes * | 23 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16 | - | - | |
| Michelle Edwards * | 22 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Simone Edwards * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Charmin Smith * | 17 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Andrea Garner | 26 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jamie Redd | 23 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Robin Threatt-Elliott | 17 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Stacey Lovelace | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter