Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Washington Mystics -2 (85-87). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Smith * | 40 | 7-15 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Betty Lennox * | 32 | 10-18 | 5-8 | 6-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Keitha Dickerson * | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Maylana Martin * | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kate Paye * | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kristin Folkl | 27 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Grace Daley | 24 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2-7 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Marla Brumfield | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Shanele Stires | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Murriel Page * | 40 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Chamique Holdsclaw * | 36 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 4-9 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Vicky Bullett * | 36 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 12 | - | - | |
| Nikki McCray * | 35 | 6-12 | 0-4 | 12-16 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Keisha Anderson * | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Beth Cunningham | 25 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Markita Aldridge | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tonya Massaline | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter