Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Utah Starzz | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | - |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | - |
| Margin | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | - |
| Pythagorean | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | - |
| Log Adjusted | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | - |
| Points Off/Def | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | - |
In progress: Utah Starzz +8 so far (79-71); predictions are graded once the game is final. Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.