Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Seattle Storm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 83.6% | 16.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 70.6% | 29.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 81.5% | 18.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.0% | 7.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.1% | 6.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 74.4% | 25.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Seattle Storm -10 (55-65). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandy Reed * | 40 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 9-9 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Tonya Edwards * | 35 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Michelle Brogan * | 31 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jennifer Gillom * | 28 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Lisa Harrison * | 25 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Bridget Pettis | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Adrian Williams-Strong | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Dena Head | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Rankica Sarenac | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonja Henning * | 33 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Edna Campbell * | 31 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Charmin Smith * | 28 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Simone Edwards * | 16 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Kamila Vodichkova * | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Andrea Garner | 27 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Quacy Barnes | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Michelle Edwards | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Robin Threatt-Elliott | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jamie Redd | 5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Stacey Lovelace | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter