Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Portland Fire | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Portland Fire -15 (58-73). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monica Maxwell * | 32 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - | - | |
| Gordana Grubin * | 27 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Alicia Thompson * | 25 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Rita Williams * | 20 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Kara Wolters * | 18 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | - | - | |
| Chantel Tremitiere | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Stephanie White | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jurgita Streimikyte | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Danielle McCulley | 14 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Katryna Gaither | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Texlin Quinney | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Portland Fire
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Nygaard * | 39 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Sophia Witherspoon * | 34 | 4-17 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Stacey Thomas * | 27 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Sylvia Crawley * | 23 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Tully Bevilaqua * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Michelle Marciniak | 25 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| DeMya Walker | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Lynn Pride | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Alisa Burras | 6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Tara Williams | 6 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter