Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Sol | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.1% | 76.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +24 (68-44). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Miami Sol
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katrina Colleton * | 27 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Sheri Sam * | 21 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Marlies Askamp * | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Debbie Black * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kristen Rasmussen * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Shantia Owens | 27 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Kisha Ford | 20 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Milena Flores | 18 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jamie Cassidy | 15 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Umeki Webb | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Sharon Manning | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Smith * | 34 | 10-13 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Betty Lennox * | 33 | 3-13 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Keitha Dickerson * | 30 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Maylana Martin * | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kate Paye * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Grace Daley | 21 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Kristin Folkl | 20 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Marla Brumfield | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Shanele Stires | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Angela Aycock | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Angie Potthoff | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter