Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Charlotte | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.6% | 33.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.1% | 21.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 71.2% | 28.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.3% | 17.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.3% | 17.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Charlotte -10 (56-66). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vickie Johnson * | 38 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Becky Hammon * | 35 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Tari Phillips * | 31 | 4-14 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Teresa Weatherspoon * | 30 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Tamika Whitmore * | 21 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Crystal Robinson | 18 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Sue Wicks | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Marina Ferragut | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Olga Firsova | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Charlotte
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dawn Staley * | 37 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Andrea Stinson * | 34 | 6-15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Tracy Reid * | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Rhonda Mapp * | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Cass Bauer-Bilodeau * | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Charlotte Smith | 30 | 6-14 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 17 | - | - | |
| Tiffany Travis | 20 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Angie Braziel | 9 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Summer Erb | 6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| E.C. Hill | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Larecha Jones | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter