Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Miracle | Sacramento Monarchs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | - |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | - |
| Margin | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | - |
| Pythagorean | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | - |
| Log Adjusted | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | - |
| Points Off/Def | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | - |
In progress: Sacramento Monarchs +7 so far (73-66); predictions are graded once the game is final. Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.