Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Rockers | Utah Starzz | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.4% | 80.6% | - | - |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | - |
| Margin | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | - |
| Pythagorean | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | - |
| Log Adjusted | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | - |
| Points Off/Def | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | - |
In progress: Utah Starzz +7 so far (84-77); predictions are graded once the game is final. Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.