Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Monarchs | Portland Fire | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.7% | 26.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.0% | 22.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.2% | 21.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Fire -3 (70-73). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Sacramento Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ruthie Bolton * | 38 | 7-15 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Yolanda Griffith * | 33 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Ticha Penicheiro * | 30 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Tangela Smith * | 29 | 9-17 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 20 | - | - | |
| Kedra Holland-Corn * | 21 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Latasha Byears | 16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Stacy Clinesmith | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Cindy Blodgett | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Lady Grooms | 6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Katy Steding | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Portland Fire
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sylvia Crawley * | 35 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Sophia Witherspoon * | 34 | 7-15 | 3-4 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Stacey Thomas * | 24 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Tully Bevilaqua * | 20 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Vanessa Nygaard * | 20 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| DeMya Walker | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Michelle Marciniak | 19 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Lynn Pride | 17 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Michele Van Gorp | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter