Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Miracle | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | - |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | - |
| Margin | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | - |
| Pythagorean | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.9% | 82.1% | - | - |
| Log Adjusted | 17.8% | 82.2% | - | - |
| Points Off/Def | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | - |
In progress: Los Angeles Sparks +15 so far (78-63); predictions are graded once the game is final. Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.