Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.1% | 34.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Mystics -14 (64-78). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teresa Weatherspoon * | 36 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Vickie Johnson * | 35 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 8-10 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Tari Phillips * | 32 | 5-15 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Becky Hammon * | 27 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Tamika Whitmore * | 26 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Sue Wicks | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Crystal Robinson | 20 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - |
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Murriel Page * | 38 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Nikki McCray * | 36 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Chamique Holdsclaw * | 35 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Keisha Anderson * | 35 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Vicky Bullett * | 33 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Beth Cunningham | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tausha Mills | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tonya Massaline | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter