Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Rockers | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.4% | 80.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +10 (67-57). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Cleveland Rockers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mery Andrade * | 33 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 6-7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Suzie McConnell Serio * | 29 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Merlakia Jones * | 28 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Chasity Melvin * | 26 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Rushia Brown * | 19 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Ann Wauters | 22 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Tricia Bader Binford | 15 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Helen Darling | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Vicki Hall | 10 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Pollyanna Johns Kimbrough | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandy Reed * | 40 | 10-16 | 0-0 | 11-12 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Lisa Harrison * | 34 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Tonya Edwards * | 28 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jennifer Gillom * | 22 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Michelle Cleary * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Bridget Pettis | 23 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Michelle Brogan | 20 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Dena Head | 19 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Rankica Sarenac | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - |
* = starter