Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Starzz | Orlando Miracle | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | - |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | - |
| Margin | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | - |
| Pythagorean | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | - |
| Log Adjusted | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | - |
| Points Off/Def | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | - |
In progress: Orlando Miracle -3 so far (66-69); predictions are graded once the game is final. Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.