Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Fire | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +17 (80-63). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Portland Fire
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stacey Thomas * | 36 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Sylvia Crawley * | 33 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Sophia Witherspoon * | 29 | 5-13 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Vanessa Nygaard * | 28 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Tully Bevilaqua * | 27 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Michelle Marciniak | 17 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| DeMya Walker | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Lynn Pride | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Michele Van Gorp | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tara Williams | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Smith * | 38 | 1-11 | 1-8 | 8-9 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Betty Lennox * | 33 | 9-14 | 1-3 | 7-10 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Maylana Martin * | 24 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kate Paye * | 23 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Keitha Dickerson * | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Marla Brumfield | 23 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Kristin Folkl | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Shanele Stires | 16 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Grace Daley | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter