Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Miracle | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | - |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | - |
| Margin | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | - |
| Pythagorean | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | - |
| Log Adjusted | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | - |
| Points Off/Def | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | - |
In progress: Washington Mystics +2 so far (61-59); predictions are graded once the game is final. Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.