Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Seattle Storm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.2% | 22.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 77.2% | 22.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.6% | 13.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.7% | 13.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Seattle Storm +6 (67-61). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Smith * | 38 | 7-13 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Keitha Dickerson * | 33 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Betty Lennox * | 27 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Kate Paye * | 23 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Maylana Martin * | 21 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Kristin Folkl | 26 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Marla Brumfield | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Shanele Stires | 4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonja Henning * | 33 | 5-6 | 3-3 | 2-6 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Edna Campbell * | 31 | 6-12 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Simone Edwards * | 30 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Charisse Sampson * | 22 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Kamila Vodichkova * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Charmin Smith | 19 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Andrea Garner | 14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Quacy Barnes | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Michelle Edwards | 11 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jamie Redd | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter