Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Starzz | Miami Sol | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | - |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | - |
| Margin | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | - |
| Pythagorean | 67.2% | 32.8% | - | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.0% | 18.0% | - | - |
| Log Adjusted | 82.1% | 17.9% | - | - |
| Points Off/Def | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | - |
In progress: Miami Sol +11 so far (76-65); predictions are graded once the game is final. Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.