Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Fire | Charlotte | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.9% | 27.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.8% | 27.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Charlotte +9 (73-64). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Portland Fire
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Nygaard * | 33 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Sylvia Crawley * | 33 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Sophia Witherspoon * | 33 | 8-17 | 4-9 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Tully Bevilaqua * | 27 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Stacey Thomas * | 26 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Michelle Marciniak | 13 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Lynn Pride | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| DeMya Walker | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Tara Williams | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Michele Van Gorp | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Alisa Burras | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Charlotte
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dawn Staley * | 34 | 6-9 | 3-3 | 3-5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Andrea Stinson * | 34 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 16 | - | - | |
| Rhonda Mapp * | 28 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Tracy Reid * | 24 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - | - | |
| Cass Bauer-Bilodeau * | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Charlotte Smith | 25 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Tiffany Travis | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| E.C. Hill | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Summer Erb | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter