Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Sacramento Monarchs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Monarchs +17 (73-56). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Smith * | 34 | 9-18 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Betty Lennox * | 32 | 5-18 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Keitha Dickerson * | 29 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Maylana Martin * | 25 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Kate Paye * | 24 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kristin Folkl | 22 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Marla Brumfield | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Grace Daley | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Shanele Stires | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Sacramento Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ruthie Bolton * | 34 | 8-19 | 5-11 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Tangela Smith * | 34 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Yolanda Griffith * | 32 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 12 | - | - | |
| Kedra Holland-Corn * | 27 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Stacy Clinesmith * | 26 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Cindy Blodgett | 13 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Latasha Byears | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Lady Grooms | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Katy Steding | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter