Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Seattle Storm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.3% | 20.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 78.8% | 21.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.4% | 13.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.5% | 13.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Seattle Storm -23 (55-78). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Becky Hammon * | 31 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Teresa Weatherspoon * | 29 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Vickie Johnson * | 28 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Tari Phillips * | 25 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Tamika Whitmore * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Crystal Robinson | 22 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Sue Wicks | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Marina Ferragut | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jessica Bibby | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Shea Mahoney | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Olga Firsova | 3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - |
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonja Henning * | 27 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Kamila Vodichkova * | 27 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Edna Campbell * | 26 | 1-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Michelle Edwards * | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Andrea Garner * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Charmin Smith | 21 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Simone Edwards | 20 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Quacy Barnes | 18 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Charisse Sampson | 12 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Jamie Redd | 7 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Katrina Hibbert | 4 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter