Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Shock | Orlando Miracle | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | - |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | - |
| Margin | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | - |
| Pythagorean | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | - |
| Log Adjusted | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | - |
| Points Off/Def | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | - |
In progress: Orlando Miracle +10 so far (88-78); predictions are graded once the game is final. Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.