Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Fire | Miami Sol | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.5% | 27.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.4% | 27.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Sol +7 (69-62). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Portland Fire
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Witherspoon * | 36 | 3-13 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Sylvia Crawley * | 28 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Stacey Thomas * | 26 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Tully Bevilaqua * | 19 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Vanessa Nygaard * | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Michelle Marciniak | 20 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Alisa Burras | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| DeMya Walker | 16 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Lynn Pride | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Tara Williams | 5 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Michele Van Gorp | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Miami Sol
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katrina Colleton * | 35 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 9-12 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Sheri Sam * | 30 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Sharon Manning * | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Debbie Black * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Marlies Askamp * | 19 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Milena Flores | 20 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 3-6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Shantia Owens | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kristen Rasmussen | 18 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 11-12 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Kisha Ford | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter