Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Washington Mystics -3 (73-76). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Charlotte
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrea Stinson * | 35 | 10-14 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Dawn Staley * | 33 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 7-8 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Rhonda Mapp * | 31 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Tracy Reid * | 26 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Cass Bauer-Bilodeau * | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Charlotte Smith | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Tiffany Travis | 16 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| E.C. Hill | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Summer Erb | 7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chamique Holdsclaw * | 38 | 5-14 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Murriel Page * | 38 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Vicky Bullett * | 33 | 10-15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 22 | - | - | |
| Nikki McCray * | 28 | 6-16 | 3-9 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Andrea Nagy * | 17 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Keisha Anderson | 27 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Tonya Massaline | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Tausha Mills | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter