Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Starzz | Sacramento Monarchs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | - |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | - |
| Margin | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | - |
| Pythagorean | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | - |
| Log Adjusted | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | - |
| Points Off/Def | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | - |
In progress: Sacramento Monarchs -6 so far (69-75); predictions are graded once the game is final. Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.