Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +1 (58-57). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Smith * | 38 | 7-14 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Kate Paye * | 33 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - | - | |
| Betty Lennox * | 29 | 8-18 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Keitha Dickerson * | 28 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Maylana Martin * | 25 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Kristin Folkl | 26 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Grace Daley | 16 | 0-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Marla Brumfield | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lisa Leslie * | 35 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 14-14 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 24 | - | - | |
| Tamecka Dixon * | 31 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Mwadi Mabika * | 27 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Ukari Figgs * | 18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| DeLisha Milton-Jones * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Nicky McCrimmon | 22 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Allison Feaster | 21 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Vedrana Grgin Fonseca | 12 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Clarisse Machanguana | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| La'Keshia Frett | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter