Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Portland Fire | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.7% | 28.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.4% | 28.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.6% | 28.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Portland Fire +11 (65-54). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Smith * | 38 | 4-13 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Betty Lennox * | 37 | 6-15 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Keitha Dickerson * | 27 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kristin Folkl * | 21 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | - | |
| Marla Brumfield * | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kate Paye | 23 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Maylana Martin | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Grace Daley | 18 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Shanele Stires | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Portland Fire
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sylvia Crawley * | 33 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14 | - | - | |
| Sophia Witherspoon * | 29 | 4-15 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Tully Bevilaqua * | 28 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Stacey Thomas * | 27 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Vanessa Nygaard * | 27 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Lynn Pride | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Michelle Marciniak | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Tara Williams | 10 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| DeMya Walker | 9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Michele Van Gorp | 6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Alisa Burras | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter