Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Orlando Miracle | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | - |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | - |
| Margin | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | - |
| Pythagorean | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | - |
| Log Adjusted | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | - |
| Points Off/Def | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | - |
In progress: Orlando Miracle -4 so far (51-55); predictions are graded once the game is final. Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.