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Model Predictions

Model Houston Comets Los Angeles Sparks Spread Result
Elo 39.5% 60.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 52.8% 47.2% - โœ—
Margin 55.0% 45.0% - โœ—
Pythagorean 53.8% 46.2% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 73.1% 26.9% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 73.3% 26.7% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 55.4% 44.6% - โœ—

Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +5 (63-58). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Houston Comets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Tina Thompson * 40 7-14 0-1 3-4 7 1 4 2 17 - -
Sheryl Swoopes * 39 11-22 1-3 3-3 6 3 0 3 26 - -
Janeth Arcain * 35 2-4 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 4 - -
Tiffani Johnson * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 - -
Jennifer Rizzotti * 16 0-3 0-3 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 - -
Coquese Washington 23 2-6 0-3 3-4 1 4 0 0 7 - -
Tammy Jackson 21 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 4 - -
Amaya Valdemoro 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Los Angeles Sparks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
DeLisha Milton-Jones * 40 6-11 0-0 2-4 5 3 2 0 14 - -
Lisa Leslie * 29 3-12 0-0 6-6 8 1 0 2 12 - -
Mwadi Mabika * 29 5-13 2-5 3-5 8 2 3 0 15 - -
Tamecka Dixon * 28 5-8 0-2 4-4 3 0 2 0 14 - -
Ukari Figgs * 20 1-5 1-3 0-0 1 5 0 0 3 - -
Nicky McCrimmon 19 0-1 0-0 1-4 0 3 3 0 1 - -
Allison Feaster 13 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Vedrana Grgin Fonseca 7 1-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Clarisse Machanguana 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Paige Sauer 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter