Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Sol | Dallas Wings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Wings +30 (80-50). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Miami Sol
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheri Sam * | 25 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Katrina Colleton * | 24 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Sharon Manning * | 22 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Marlies Askamp * | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Debbie Black * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kisha Ford | 19 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Milena Flores | 18 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Shantia Owens | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kristen Rasmussen | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jameka Jones | 10 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jamie Cassidy | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wendy Palmer * | 32 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Elena Tornikidou * | 26 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Dominique Canty * | 26 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Claudia Neves * | 16 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Astou Ndiaye-Diatta * | 15 | 0-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Barbara Farris | 22 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Edwina Brown | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Anna DeForge | 17 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Oksana Zakaluzhnaya | 10 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Joy Holmes | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Madinah Slaise | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter