Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Monarchs | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +8 (72-64). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Sacramento Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yolanda Griffith * | 33 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Kedra Holland-Corn * | 32 | 7-8 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Ruthie Bolton * | 30 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Tangela Smith * | 27 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Ticha Penicheiro * | 17 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Latasha Byears | 18 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Cindy Blodgett | 15 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Katy Steding | 10 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Lady Grooms | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Stacy Clinesmith | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandy Reed * | 39 | 10-18 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 25 | - | - | |
| Tonya Edwards * | 35 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Lisa Harrison * | 34 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Michelle Cleary * | 34 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jennifer Gillom * | 31 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Bridget Pettis | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Adrian Williams-Strong | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Rankica Sarenac | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter