Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Mystics | Miami Sol | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.0% | 28.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.1% | 27.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Sol -12 (48-60). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikki McCray * | 38 | 5-15 | 1-5 | 5-7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Chamique Holdsclaw * | 34 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Vicky Bullett * | 32 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Murriel Page * | 31 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Andrea Nagy * | 28 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Keisha Anderson | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Tausha Mills | 9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | - | |
| Markita Aldridge | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Heather Owen | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Miami Sol
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katrina Colleton * | 33 | 6-15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Marlies Askamp * | 29 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Sheri Sam * | 28 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 4-7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Sharon Manning * | 27 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Debbie Black * | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Milena Flores | 16 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kisha Ford | 14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kristen Rasmussen | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Shantia Owens | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jameka Jones | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jamie Cassidy | 3 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - |
* = starter