Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.2% | 78.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Washington Mystics -23 (58-81). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kara Wolters * | 32 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | - | - | |
| Rita Williams * | 31 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 5-8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Monica Maxwell * | 25 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Alicia Thompson * | 20 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Gordana Grubin * | 18 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Chantel Tremitiere | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jurgita Streimikyte | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Stephanie White | 19 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 7-8 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Danielle McCulley | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Texlin Quinney | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikki McCray * | 38 | 4-17 | 1-6 | 5-6 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Murriel Page * | 37 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Chamique Holdsclaw * | 35 | 6-16 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Vicky Bullett * | 34 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Andrea Nagy * | 28 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Keisha Anderson | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tausha Mills | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Heather Owen | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Beth Cunningham | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tonya Massaline | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Markita Aldridge | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter