Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Fire | Utah Starzz | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | - |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | - |
| Margin | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | - |
| Pythagorean | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | - |
| Log Adjusted | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | - |
| Points Off/Def | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | - |
In progress: Utah Starzz +9 so far (76-67); predictions are graded once the game is final. Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.