Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.6% | 85.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.6% | 80.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New York Liberty +14 (84-70). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Charlotte
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrea Stinson * | 34 | 5-15 | 1-5 | 10-14 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Dawn Staley * | 33 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Tracy Reid * | 28 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Rhonda Mapp * | 28 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Cass Bauer-Bilodeau * | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Charlotte Smith | 21 | 2-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Tiffany Travis | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| E.C. Hill | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Summer Erb | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Angie Braziel | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Larecha Jones | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vickie Johnson * | 30 | 7-14 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Becky Hammon * | 28 | 5-11 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Tari Phillips * | 25 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Teresa Weatherspoon * | 23 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 3-6 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Tamika Whitmore * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Crystal Robinson | 25 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Sue Wicks | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Marina Ferragut | 12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Shea Mahoney | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jessica Bibby | 6 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Olga Firsova | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter