Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Monarchs | Houston Comets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Comets +15 (77-62). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Sacramento Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticha Penicheiro * | 40 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Yolanda Griffith * | 35 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Ruthie Bolton * | 34 | 5-17 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Tangela Smith * | 30 | 5-15 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Kedra Holland-Corn * | 28 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Lady Grooms | 16 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Latasha Byears | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Houston Comets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheryl Swoopes * | 40 | 11-20 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Cynthia Cooper * | 37 | 6-16 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Tina Thompson * | 35 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Janeth Arcain * | 34 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Tiffani Johnson * | 32 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jennifer Rizzotti | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tammy Jackson | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Monica Lamb | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter