Model Predictions
| Model | Seattle Storm | Dallas Wings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Wings +5 (61-56). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonja Henning * | 38 | 4-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Quacy Barnes * | 26 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kamila Vodichkova * | 20 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - | - | |
| Robin Threatt-Elliott * | 18 | 2-8 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Charisse Sampson * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jamie Redd | 24 | 6-13 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Charmin Smith | 23 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Andrea Garner | 18 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Simone Edwards | 9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Stacey Lovelace | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Astou Ndiaye-Diatta * | 32 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Elena Tornikidou * | 32 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Wendy Palmer * | 27 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Edwina Brown * | 26 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Anna DeForge * | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Dominique Canty | 24 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Oksana Zakaluzhnaya | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - | - | |
| Claudia Neves | 17 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Joy Holmes | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Barbara Farris | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - |
* = starter