Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Miracle | Cleveland Rockers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland Rockers +2 (74-72). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.