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Model Predictions

Model Portland Fire Los Angeles Sparks Spread Result
Elo 15.0% 85.0% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 12.6% 87.4% - โœ—
Margin 25.1% 74.9% - โœ—
Pythagorean 28.5% 71.5% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 15.4% 84.6% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 15.3% 84.7% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 22.5% 77.5% - โœ—

Actual: Los Angeles Sparks -3 (77-80). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Portland Fire

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Sophia Witherspoon * 37 10-17 4-5 5-6 2 3 0 0 29 - -
Stacey Thomas * 33 2-5 0-0 1-4 5 3 1 1 5 - -
Vanessa Nygaard * 32 5-9 1-4 2-2 4 1 1 0 13 - -
Tully Bevilaqua * 27 3-7 1-3 0-2 3 2 0 0 7 - -
DeMya Walker * 7 1-4 0-0 1-3 1 1 0 0 3 - -
Lynn Pride 22 0-2 0-0 1-2 2 2 0 0 1 - -
Michele Van Gorp 18 3-4 0-0 2-3 5 1 1 3 8 - -
Michelle Marciniak 12 2-3 1-1 0-0 5 1 1 0 5 - -
Tara Williams 9 3-3 2-2 1-2 2 0 0 0 9 - -

Los Angeles Sparks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
DeLisha Milton-Jones * 38 6-11 1-1 2-2 6 5 1 0 15 - -
Mwadi Mabika * 31 7-13 2-7 6-8 4 2 2 0 22 - -
Tamecka Dixon * 30 4-12 0-2 4-4 5 3 2 1 12 - -
Ukari Figgs * 28 1-3 1-2 4-4 1 5 0 0 7 - -
Lisa Leslie * 24 3-12 0-0 4-4 7 3 0 1 10 - -
Allison Feaster 17 4-8 1-3 0-0 4 1 2 1 9 - -
Clarisse Machanguana 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 2 - -
Nicky McCrimmon 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
La'Keshia Frett 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter