Model Predictions
| Model | Seattle Storm | Miami Sol | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Sol +17 (59-42). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonja Henning * | 35 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Robin Threatt-Elliott * | 24 | 2-11 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Charisse Sampson * | 20 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Quacy Barnes * | 18 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Andrea Garner * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Simone Edwards | 30 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jamie Redd | 17 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Stacey Lovelace | 13 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Katrina Hibbert | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Charmin Smith | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kamila Vodichkova | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Miami Sol
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheri Sam * | 32 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Marlies Askamp * | 32 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 13-18 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Debbie Black * | 22 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Sharon Manning * | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Katrina Colleton * | 12 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Kisha Ford | 24 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Milena Flores | 17 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Kristen Rasmussen | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Shantia Owens | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jameka Jones | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jamie Cassidy | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter