Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Mystics | Portland Fire | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Portland Fire +17 (75-58). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chamique Holdsclaw * | 38 | 4-15 | 1-2 | 6-10 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | - | - | |
| Vicky Bullett * | 34 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | - | - | |
| Nikki McCray * | 34 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 3-6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Andrea Nagy * | 34 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | - | |
| Murriel Page * | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Markita Aldridge | 13 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Tausha Mills | 10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Keisha Anderson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Heather Owen | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Portland Fire
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Witherspoon * | 34 | 9-18 | 4-7 | 4-5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Vanessa Nygaard * | 31 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Stacey Thomas * | 30 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Tully Bevilaqua * | 28 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Sylvia Crawley * | 21 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| DeMya Walker | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Lynn Pride | 14 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Michelle Marciniak | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Alisa Burras | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Michele Van Gorp | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tara Williams | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter