Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Mystics | Sacramento Monarchs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Monarchs +22 (78-56). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chamique Holdsclaw * | 33 | 7-16 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Andrea Nagy * | 31 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Vicky Bullett * | 29 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Nikki McCray * | 27 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Murriel Page * | 21 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Tausha Mills | 15 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Markita Aldridge | 15 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Heather Owen | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Keisha Anderson | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tonya Massaline | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Sacramento Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yolanda Griffith * | 28 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 14 | - | - | |
| Ticha Penicheiro * | 28 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Ruthie Bolton * | 26 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Tangela Smith * | 25 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kedra Holland-Corn * | 23 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Latasha Byears | 22 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Lady Grooms | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Stacy Clinesmith | 11 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Katy Steding | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Cindy Blodgett | 5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Rhonda Banchero | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter