Model Predictions
| Model | Seattle Storm | Orlando Miracle | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.6% | 79.4% | - | - |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | - |
| Margin | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | - |
| Pythagorean | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | - |
| Log Adjusted | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | - |
| Points Off/Def | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | - |
In progress: Orlando Miracle +11 so far (64-53); predictions are graded once the game is final. Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.