Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Monarchs | Portland Fire | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.0% | 24.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 69.5% | 30.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.5% | 22.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.7% | 22.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Fire -3 (60-63). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Sacramento Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yolanda Griffith * | 36 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - | - | |
| Ticha Penicheiro * | 35 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Ruthie Bolton * | 32 | 10-20 | 2-7 | 6-8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Kedra Holland-Corn * | 27 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Tangela Smith * | 26 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | - | - | |
| Latasha Byears | 17 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Lady Grooms | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Katy Steding | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Stacy Clinesmith | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Portland Fire
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sylvia Crawley * | 34 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Vanessa Nygaard * | 30 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Sophia Witherspoon * | 30 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Stacey Thomas * | 28 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Tully Bevilaqua * | 18 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Michelle Marciniak | 21 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Lynn Pride | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Alisa Burras | 14 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Tara Williams | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter