Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx -6 (70-76). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tari Phillips * | 39 | 10-18 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| Teresa Weatherspoon * | 38 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Vickie Johnson * | 37 | 3-12 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Becky Hammon * | 34 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Tamika Whitmore * | 11 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Sue Wicks | 26 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jessica Bibby | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Shea Mahoney | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Smith * | 37 | 6-15 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Betty Lennox * | 34 | 7-19 | 2-7 | 4-6 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Marla Brumfield * | 30 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Keitha Dickerson * | 29 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Kristin Folkl * | 25 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Grace Daley | 21 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Shanele Stires | 13 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Maylana Martin | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kate Paye | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter