Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Orlando Miracle | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | - |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | - |
| Margin | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | - |
| Pythagorean | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | - |
| Log Adjusted | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | - |
| Points Off/Def | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | - |
In progress: Orlando Miracle +12 so far (72-60); predictions are graded once the game is final. Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.