Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Sacramento Monarchs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Sacramento Monarchs -15 (61-76). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeLisha Milton-Jones * | 39 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Mwadi Mabika * | 36 | 9-18 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 19 | - |
| Tamecka Dixon * | 32 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Ukari Figgs * | 31 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Lisa Leslie * | 29 | 4-14 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Clarisse Machanguana | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Allison Feaster | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Nicky McCrimmon | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
Sacramento Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticha Penicheiro * | 40 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Tangela Smith * | 34 | 4-15 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Yolanda Griffith * | 33 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Ruthie Bolton * | 31 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Kedra Holland-Corn * | 29 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Lady Grooms | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Latasha Byears | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Katy Steding | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter