Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Wings | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.8% | 82.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.0% | 82.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.0% | 82.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +22 (85-63). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wendy Palmer * | 30 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 2-6 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Edwina Brown * | 29 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Elena Tornikidou * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Claudia Neves * | 20 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Astou Ndiaye-Diatta * | 18 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Tamicha Jackson | 20 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Oksana Zakaluzhnaya | 16 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Joy Holmes | 14 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Olympia Scott | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Anna DeForge | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeLisha Milton-Jones * | 33 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Mwadi Mabika * | 29 | 8-15 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Tamecka Dixon * | 28 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Ukari Figgs * | 24 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Lisa Leslie * | 22 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 21 | - |
| Clarisse Machanguana | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Allison Feaster | 15 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Nicky McCrimmon | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Vedrana Grgin Fonseca | 8 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Paige Sauer | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| La'Keshia Frett | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter