Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Starzz | Seattle Storm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | - |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.9% | 26.1% | - | - |
| Margin | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | - |
| Pythagorean | 71.4% | 28.6% | - | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.1% | 21.9% | - | - |
| Log Adjusted | 78.2% | 21.8% | - | - |
| Points Off/Def | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | - |
In progress: Seattle Storm -21 so far (60-81); predictions are graded once the game is final. Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.