Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Wings | Sacramento Monarchs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Monarchs +12 (108-96). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elena Tornikidou * | 32 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Wendy Palmer * | 28 | 6-14 | 0-1 | 8-8 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Claudia Neves * | 16 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Dominique Canty * | 15 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Astou Ndiaye-Diatta * | 15 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Tamicha Jackson | 24 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Oksana Zakaluzhnaya | 18 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Edwina Brown | 17 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -1 | - |
| Olympia Scott | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Anna DeForge | 9 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Joy Holmes | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
Sacramento Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tangela Smith * | 34 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Ticha Penicheiro * | 34 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 9-15 | 3 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 24 | - |
| Kedra Holland-Corn * | 32 | 7-13 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Ruthie Bolton * | 28 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Yolanda Griffith * | 26 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 22 | - |
| Latasha Byears | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Lady Grooms | 13 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Stacy Clinesmith | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Katy Steding | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter